Retail Banking in Spain: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Sector Impact

Retail Banking in Spain: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Sector Impact

Summary

The Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak, dubbed COVID-19, is first and foremost a human tragedy, affecting millions of people globally. The contagious Coronavirus, which broke out at the close of 2019, has led to a medical emergency across the world, with the World Health Organization officially declaring the novel Coronavirus a pandemic on March 11, 2020.

Fears surrounding the impact of COVID-19 have already significantly impacted the global economy, with key markets across the world losing 20-50% of their value for the year to date. Many economists and institutions have cut their forecasts, with consensus global GDP growth currently at 2.6% for 2020, and many experts predicting the potential onset of recessionary environments.

Spain has been severely affected by the Coronavirus, with over 220,000 infections and more then 25,000 deaths. This outbreak will cause economic disruption and decelerate Spain’s GDP. The decline will have an adverse impact on all sectors, including banking.

This report focuses on the impact of the Coronavirus outbreak on the economy and the retail banking industry in Spain. Based on our proprietary datasets, the snap shot provides a detailed comparison between pre-COVID-19 forecasts and revised forecasts of total mortgage, consumer, credit card loan balances as well as deposit balances in terms of value and growth rates. It also offers information on measures taken by the government to combat Coronavirus.

Scope

- Spain’s economy and its banking sector will be more affected by the Coronavirus than countries in Northern Europe. Not only is Spain among the worst hit in terms of both infection and death rates, but its economy was already in a frail state before the outbreak of COVID-19. Much like governments across Europe, the Spanish government is supporting the banking sector with a €20bn program to secure bank loans to companies and other stimulus packages to promote lending.
- Spanish government guarantees on loans to SMEs and corporates will support borrowers' viability and hence banks' asset quality. However, earnings challenges will still intensify for banks due to weaker business volumes and rising loan impairment charges. For banks, the severity of losses will depend on whether government measures are able to preserve businesses threatened with bankruptcy and help people re-enter the workforce.

Reasons to Buy

- Make strategic decisions using top-level revised forecast data on the Spanish retail lending and deposit industry.
- Understand the key market trends, challenges, and opportunities in the Spanish retail lending and deposit industry.
- Receive a comprehensive insight into the total consumer loans in Spain, including mortgages, personal and credit card loans as well as retail deposits balances.